Sunday, January 03, 2010

W-10 BP65

It's very difficult to place Tennessee right now because of the uncertainty with the suspensions. But I'll take my best shot. Ten weeks to go until Selection Sunday:

1. KANSAS (BIG 12)
1. KENTUCKY (SEC)
1. PURDUE (BIG TEN)
1. Texas

2. NORTH CAROLINA (ACC)
2. VILLANOVA (BIG EAST)
2. West Virginia
2. Michigan State

3. WASHINGTON (PAC 10)
3. Duke
3. Syracuse
3. Georgetown

4. BUTLER (HORIZON)
4. California
4. UConn
4. GONZAGA (WCC)

5. Clemson
5. Florida
5. NEW MEXICO (MWC)
5. Wisconsin

6. Kansas State
6. Ohio State
6. Mississippi State
6. DAYTON (ATLANTIC 10)

7. BYU
7. Minnesota
7. Missouri
7. Arizona State

8. Mississippi
8. Xavier
8. Louisville
8. Wake Forest

9. Tennessee
9. Cincinnati
9. Georgia Tech
9. MEMPHIS (CONFERENCE USA)

10. Baylor
10. NORTHERN IOWA (MVC)
10. Temple
10. Vanderbilt

11. Miami (Fl)
11. Pittsburgh
11. Texas A&M
11. UNLV

12. Maryland
12. Illinois
12. SIENA (MAAC)
12. UTAH STATE (WAC)

13. VCU (COLONIAL)
13. CORNELL (IVY)
13. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
13. KENT STATE (MAC)

14. LONG BEACH STATE (BIG WEST)
14. WESTERN KENTUCKY (SUN BELT)
14. COASTAL CAROLINA (BIG SOUTH)
14. SAM HOUSTON STATE (SOUTHLAND)

15. OAKLAND (SUMMIT)
15. VERMONT (AMERICA EAST)
15. BELMONT (ATLANTIC SUN)
15. WOFFORD (SOUTHERN)

16. WEBER STATE (BIG SKY)
16. MORGAN STATE (MEAC)
16. HOLY CROSS (PATRIOT)
16. MT SAINT MARY'S (NORTHEAST)
16. JACKSON STATE (SWAC)


Other teams considered, but that missed the cut:
Florida State, NC State, Virginia Tech, Richmond, Rhode Island, Marquette, Notre Dame, Seton Hall, Michigan, Northwestern, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Old Dominion, William & Mary, UAB, Tulsa, Missouri State, San Diego State, USC, Washington State, Saint Mary's

Other teams with a decent shot, but that need to improve their resume:
Boston College, Charlotte, St. John's, South Florida, Penn State, Iowa State, Nebraska, Marshall, UTEP, Wright State, Illinois State, Southern Illinois, Wichita State, Arizona, Oregon, Alabama, South Carolina, Portland, Louisiana Tech

Other teams that I'm keeping my eye on, but that need to dramatically improve their resume:
Virginia, Duquesne, George Washington, Saint Louis, Providence, Colorado, Pacific, Southern Miss, Loyola-Chicago, UW-Green Bay, Harvard, Iona, Niagara, Indiana State, Colorado State, UCLA, Oregon State, Stanford, Georgia, LSU, San Diego, Nevada
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2 comments:

DMoore said...

I'm not sure how the math works to get two top four seeds out of the Pac 10, especially if you project Washington to win the conference. That should mean California goes maybe 14-4 in conference, which gives them a record of 22-8. Will that really be a 4 seed? What good wins can they have? They have no bad losses, but no good wins, and I don't see any to be found in conference other than Washngton.

January 03, 2010 2:42 AM
Jeff said...

I think Cal is really getting their act together, and honestly they might be better than Washington right now and I do see them going something like 14-4. In the end I think Washington beats them head-to-head and takes the automatic bid, but I think people are really underrating Cal at the moment. Getting Theo Robertson back was huge.

If both teams go 14-4 or 15-3 then Washington gets the edge in the bracket because their out-of-conference performance was so much better.

But I did drop Washington to a 3 seed for this very reason, that I see those two teams converging, and there's almost no way that the Pac-10 gets two teams with a 3 seed or better.

January 03, 2010 2:55 AM

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