Sunday, December 19, 2010

W-12 BP68

1. DUKE (ACC)
1. KANSAS (BIG 12)
1. OHIO STATE (BIG TEN)
1. PITTSBURGH (BIG EAST)

2. Michigan State
2. Texas
2. TENNESSEE (SEC)
2. Georgetown

3. WASHINGTON (PAC-10)
3. Kentucky
3. Syracuse
3. Illinois

4. Baylor
4. Kansas State
4. TEMPLE (ATLANTIC 10)
4. BYU (MWC)

5. Villanova
5. San Diego State
5. Wisconsin
5. Texas A&M

6. MEMPHIS (CONFERENCE USA)
6. Florida
6. North Carolina
6. UNLV

7. UConn
7. Purdue
7. Missouri
7. Louisville

8. Vanderbilt
8. West Virginia
8. Maryland
8. Notre Dame

9. UTAH STATE (WAC)
9. New Mexico
9. Minnesota
9. Arizona

10. GONZAGA (WCC)
10. Northwestern
10. BUTLER (HORIZON)
10. Marquette

11. Oklahoma State
11. WICHITA STATE (MVC)
11. Florida State
11. Xavier

12. Boston College
12. Washington State
12. Saint Mary's
12. Richmond
12. Virginia Tech
12. Central Florida

13. OLD DOMINION (COLONIAL)
13. OAKLAND (SUMMIT)
13. HARVARD (IVY)
13. IONA (MAAC)

14. BELMONT (ATLANTIC SUN)
14. KENT STATE (MAC)
14. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
14. LONG BEACH STATE (BIG WEST)

15. WESTERN KENTUCKY (SUN BELT)
15. DAVIDSON (SOUTHERN)
15. MONTANA (BIG SKY)
15. STEPHEN F AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)

16. VERMONT (AMERICA EAST)
16. WINTHROP (BIG SOUTH)
16. ROBERT MORRIS (NEC)
16. BUCKNELL (PATRIOT)
16. JACKSON STATE (SWAC)
16. MORGAN STATE (MEAC)

Teams seriously considered that just missed the cut:
Clemson, NC State, Cincinnati, Providence, Michigan, Iowa State, Southern Miss, Missouri State, California

Other teams with a decent shot, but that need to improve their resume:
Georgia Tech, Miami (Fl), Virginia, Dayton, Duquesne, Rhode Island, St. John's, Seton Hall, Indiana, Drexel, George Mason, VCU, UAB, Cleveland State, Arizona State, UCLA, USC, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, Portland

Other teams I'm keeping my eye on, but that need to dramatically improve their resume:
Wake Forest, La Salle, UMass, Saint Louis, Rutgers, South Florida, Iowa, Penn State, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Marshall, UTEP, Tulsa, Creighton, Northern Iowa, Air Force, Colorado State, TCU, Utah, Oregon, Stanford, Alabama, LSU, Mississippi State, Boise State

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hello Jeff sometimes i cant understand the pomeroy ratings. ¿do you think that the ratings are good? The pomeroy ratings put Stephen Austin better than dayton, wofford, long beach. Are you agree whit that? Can i trust in that ratings to make a bet? Because after i read your predictions i think you are better than the ratings.

Anonymous said...

Continued with my comment Jeff i want too ask you. How can i know who are a better team? Im really like your way that you writte and i know that you know a lot. I need to be honest with you, i like to bet but the ncaa basketball its difficult to me i dont understand why teams that are in the top 25 lost with very poor teams.

Jeff said...

The Pomeroy ratings are the best objective ratings, in my opinion. But they're not perfect, and they are still working off a small sample set - they'll be more accurate as the year goes along.

But upsets always happen. Nobody can perfectly project the future. No objective rating system on the planet is going to pick UIC to beat Illinois.