Bubble Watch Heading Into March 3rd

There wasn't much bubble movement on Sunday. But today we kick off the first conference tournament, and we'll start filling up that list of Tournament locks, which currently sits at just 16. For a complete conference tournament schedule, click here.

The one change to the bubble itself was Stanford dropping back to it. That swells the bubble up to 17 teams fighting for 10 bids. Obviously the bubble won't still be that large on Selection Sunday, but still almost two weeks out there are still a lot of teams kicking and fighting for those final few spots.

Anyway, here is how the bubble stands as we head into Monday, March 3rd:

Tournament locks (16 teams):
Cincinnati,  Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia, Creighton, Villanova, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa State, Kansas, Wichita State, San Diego State, Arizona, Florida

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (32, of which 24 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, Atlantic Sun, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, Colonial, CUSA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Pac-12, Patriot, SEC, SoCon, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WCC, WAC

Teams that look safe (17):
UConn, Louisville, Memphis, SMU, Pittsburgh, UMass, Saint Louis, VCU, Iowa, Ohio State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Arizona State, UCLA, Kentucky

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (6):
George Washington, Saint Joseph's, Xavier, Harvard, Oregon, Gonzaga

The Bubble (17 teams for 10 bids):
Clemson, Florida State,  Georgetown, Marquette, Providence, St. John's, Minnesota, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Southern Miss, Toledo, California, Colorado, Stanford, Arkansas, Tennessee, BYU

Best of the rest (13):
Dayton, Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Louisiana Tech, Green Bay, Stephen F Austin, North Dakota State, Utah, Missouri, Boise State, Georgia, LSU

Long shots (15):
Maryland, UTEP, UNLV, Saint Mary's, NC State, Richmond, Illinois, Middle Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana State, Oregon State, Washington, Mississippi, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt