W-4.5 BP68

We're now close enough to Selection Sunday that I do these brackets biweekly. There will be another one after Saturday night's games finish, and then another one after next Wednesday's games.

It's been a brutal few days for bubble teams, and so the bubble feels a whole lot weaker than it did just a few days ago. The last few spots were really tough to fill in, or at least they seemed that way to me. I would say that the last five teams in my bracket are all teams that I don't actually think will make the NCAA Tournament. I just don't really see who to replace them with.

I made two changes to the Field of 68. The AAC got two new teams in (Temple and Tulsa) while Seton Hall and NC State dropped out.

Just four teams were eliminated from at-large contention since Saturday: Boston College, Kent State, Northwestern and Rutgers. That leaves 59 teams currently out of the bracket that still have a chance for an at-large bid.

Remember, this is a projection of what the bracket will look like on Selection Sunday, and not a measure of where teams would be if the season ended now.

For now, here's how I see things ending up on Selection Sunday:

1. KENTUCKY (SEC)
1. WISCONSIN (BIG TEN)
1. GONZAGA (WCC)
1. ARIZONA (PAC-12)

2. VIRGINIA (ACC)
2. VILLANOVA (BIG EAST)
2. Duke
2. KANSAS (BIG 12)

3. Utah
3. Louisville
3. North Carolina
3. Oklahoma

4. Iowa State
4. WICHITA STATE (MISSOURI VALLEY)
4. Notre Dame
4. Baylor

5. Ohio State
5. Butler
5. Northern Iowa
5. Georgetown

6. CINCINNATI (AAC)
6. SMU
6. Oklahoma State
6. SAN DIEGO STATE (MOUNTAIN WEST)

7. Texas
7. West Virginia
7. VCU (ATLANTIC TEN)
7. Maryland

8. Arkansas
8. Xavier
8. Iowa
8. Dayton

9. Michigan State
9. Providence
9. Stanford
9. Colorado State

10. Georgia
10. St. John's
10. Indiana
10. Davidson

11. Mississippi
11. Temple
11. Illinois
11. Miami-Florida
11. Florida

12. HARVARD (IVY)
12. BYU
12. Tulsa
12. LOUISIANA TECH (CONFERENCE USA)
12. GREEN BAY (HORIZON)

13. TOLEDO (MAC)
13. IONA (MAAC)
13. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
13. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)

14. UC IRVINE (BIG WEST)
14. GEORGIA STATE (SUN BELT)
14. WILLIAM & MARY (COLONIAL)
14. EASTERN WASHINGTON (BIG SKY)

15. FLORIDA GULF COAST (ATLANTIC SUN)
15. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (SUMMIT)
15. WOFFORD (SOCON)
15. NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC)

16. NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL (MEAC)
16. VERMONT (AMERICA EAST)
16. HIGH POINT (BIG SOUTH)
16. COLGATE (PATRIOT)
16. TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC)
16. ST. FRANCIS-NY (NEC)

Teams seriously considered that just missed the cut:
Connecticut, NC State, George Washington, Seton Hall, Minnesota, UCLA, LSU, Texas A&M

Decent resumes, but not good enough:
Pittsburgh, Rhode Island, Old Dominion, Boise State, Oregon, Oregon State, Alabama, Saint Mary's

Long shots, but still in the at-large discussion:
Clemson, UMass, Richmond, Michigan, Purdue, Kansas State, UTEP, Valparaiso, Bowling Green, Arizona State, Colorado, Washington, South Carolina, Tennessee

Still alive, but pretty much need a miracle:
Memphis, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, La Salle, St. Bonaventure, DePaul, Marquette, Nebraska, Penn State, TCU, Texas Tech, UC Davis, Western Kentucky, Yale, Akron, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Evansville, Illinois State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, California, Washington State, Auburn, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Sam Houston St