Thursday, March 02, 2006

Top Games of Monday, Tuesday & Wednesday

Only games affecting bubble teams are listed here. This is why I'm ignoring games like Pitt/WVU:

ACC:
Florida State 79, #1 Duke 74
Another great game in the ACC. And a huge win for Florida State. However, I don't think this is the automatic invite that everyone at ESPN is making it out to be. Florida State's RPI is still 61, and are still only 11-8 against the RPI Top 200 (including 2-5 against the Top 50). They need a win against Miami and then atleast one ACC Tourney win to feel comfortable.

#15 UNC 99, Virgina 54
Could be game, set and match for UVA. I said earlier this week that Virginia probably needed a win over UNC to move ahead of Florida State as the 5th potential team out of the ACC. Obviously, Florida State's win over Duke combined with Virginia's second drubbing in a row makes Virginia's bid a real long shot.

Maryland 65, Miami 61
I think this solidifies Maryland as the 6th team in the ACC. But will the ACC get 6 teams? Probably not. In other words, Maryland has to win a few more games in a row before they get too confident about a bid. Maryland, on the other hand, is in trouble. They need to hope that FSU comes out lackadaisical in their regular season finale, after their triumph against Duke. Because a loss there means the end of Miami's at-large bid.


Big 12:
Texas A&M 46, #7 Texas 43
Congratulations, Acie Law, your 3-pointer at the buzzer just locked up an NCAA bid for the Aggies. They now have 9 wins in the Big 12 and 19 wins overall. Can't see them missing the tourney at this point. Meanwhile, Texas... what else is there to say? They have a ton of talent, but how can they be considered a threat to win the tourney when they can't put together two good games in a row?

#22 Kansas 75, Colorado 54
No one expected the Buffs to win this one, but they missed a shot to knock themselves in the tournament. They're going to have to win a couple more games to get themselves on the good side of the bubble.



Big East:
Seton Hall 72, Cincinnati 62
Big win for the Hall. They're still on the outside looking in, but this game asserts that Seton Hall will definitely get into the tourney before Cincy does. Seton Hall is probably the 8th team out at this point, with Cincy 9th. I can't see the Big East getting 9 bids into the tournament, but 8 is certainly possible. So Seton Hall just needs to keep on winning.


Big Ten:
Indiana 70, Purdue 59
The Hoosiers will not go away. Now 8-7 in conference, they're back in the mix after seemingly playing themselves off the bubble. They still have work to do, but now that the weight of the Mike Davis situation is off their backs, they might actually be able to get themselves in the tournament for the first time in a few years.


SEC:
Kentucky 80, #11 Tennessee 78
Huge win for Kentucky. Have to be considered a very likely tournament team at this point. I'm not going to call them a lock, though. They still need to win atleast one more game.

Alabama 71, Auburn 61
Alabama was already sitting pretty. At this point, they just need to tread water and win the games that they're supposed to win. They were supposed to win this game, and they did. Even with Kentucky's win, Auburn is still probably the 4th team in the SEC pecking order. And if things stay that way 'Bama will get in, because the SEC will get atleast 4 teams to the Big Dance.

No comments: