Sunday, December 26, 2010

W-11 BP68

I hope you all had a great holiday weekend with your family. There were a couple of games that happened over the past couple of days that I want to talk about, but that will wait another day or so. We're in a little lull in the schedule with kids away from school after finals. There is one decent game Sunday night (Seton Hall vs Richmond) and then a few big intra-conference games on Monday (UConn vs Georgetown the highlight), but the intra-conference schedule won't really get going for the BCS conferences until Tuesday.

In the meanwhile, here's how I see things ending up:

1. DUKE (ACC)
1. KANSAS (BIG 12)
1. OHIO STATE (BIG TEN)
1. PITTSBURGH (BIG EAST)

2. Texas
2. Georgetown
2. Michigan State
2. KENTUCKY (SEC)

3. WASHINGTON (PAC-10)
3. Syracuse
3. Illinois
3. BYU (MWC)

4. Tennessee
4. Baylor
4. TEMPLE (ATLANTIC 10)
4. Villanova

5. San Diego State
5. Kansas State
5. Wisconsin
5. Texas A&M

6. North Carolina
6. UNLV
6. Purdue
6. Missouri

7. Louisville
7. Florida
7. UConn
7. Vanderbilt

8. MEMPHIS (CONFERENCE USA)
8. West Virginia
8. Maryland
8. Notre Dame

9. GONZAGA (WCC)
9. New Mexico
9. UTAH STATE (WAC)
9. BUTLER (HORIZON)

10. Washington State
10. Arizona
10. Oklahoma State
10. Florida State

11. Minnesota
11. Marquette
11. WICHITA STATE (MVC)
11. Boston College

12. Northwestern
12. Richmond
12. Saint Mary's
12. Virginia Tech
12. Central Florida
12. Xavier

13. OLD DOMINION (COLONIAL)
13. OAKLAND (SUMMIT)
13. HARVARD (IVY)
13. IONA (MAAC)

14. BELMONT (ATLANTIC SUN)
14. KENT STATE (MAC)
14. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
14. LONG BEACH STATE (BIG WEST)

15. DAVIDSON (SOUTHERN)
15. WESTERN KENTUCKY (SUN BELT)
15. MONTANA (BIG SKY)
15. VERMONT (AMERICA EAST)

16. STEPHEN F AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)
16. WINTHROP (BIG SOUTH)
16. ROBERT MORRIS (NEC)
16. BUCKNELL (PATRIOT)
16. JACKSON STATE (SWAC)
16. MORGAN STATE (MEAC)

Teams seriously considered that just missed the cut:
Clemson, Miami (Fl), Cincinnati, St. John's, Michigan, Iowa State, Southern Miss, Missouri State, California, Georgia

Other teams with a decent shot, but that need to improve their resume:
Georgia Tech, NC State, Virginia, Dayton, Rhode Island, Providence, Seton Hall, Indiana, Nebraska, Drexel, George Mason, UAB, Cleveland State, Northern Iowa, Colorado State, Arizona State, UCLA, USC, Arkansas, Mississippi, South Carolina, Portland

Other teams I'm keeping my eye on, but that need to dramatically improve their resume:
Duquesne, La Salle, UMass, Saint Louis, Rutgers, South Florida, Iowa, Penn State, Oklahoma, VCU, Marshall, UTEP, Tulsa, Creighton, Air Force, TCU, Utah, Oregon, Stanford, Alabama, LSU, Mississippi State, Boise State

3 comments:

Unknown said...

UConn vs Pitt

Anonymous said...

Boy, that's a lot of love for Mich. State. They have lost all their true test games to date.

Why no love for San Diego State?

Jeff said...

Michigan State has a history of starting slow and finishing strong, and their key problems are things that should improve as the season goes along (ballhandling sloppiness, Kalin Lucas still not fully recovered for his injury).

As for SDSU, I'm not sold on them. They have a clear flaw, which is that they struggle to score if they run up against a big/athletic team that isn't overwhelmed by their big men. Pomeroy rates them 21st and Sagarin rates them 17th, and I think that's close to correct.