Thursday, March 12, 2015

Bubble Watch Heading Into March 12th

It was a relatively quiet day for the bubble as the teams that needed to win against inferior opponents (NC State, Texas, Miami, Stanford, etc) all took care of business.

We did pick up one new lock: Lafayette, who won the Patriot. That pushes us to 33 locks. 35 spots are still available.

With NC State pulling themselves off the bubble (for now) the bubble is currently 13 teams for 8 spots.

Here is how the bubble stands as we head into Thursday, March 12th:

Tournament locks (33 teams): 
SMU, Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia, North Florida, Butler, Georgetown, Villanova, Coastal Carolina, Maryland, Wisconsin, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Northeastern, Valparaiso, Manhattan, Northern Iowa, Wichita State, Robert Morris, Belmont, Arizona, Utah, Lafayette, Arkansas, Kentucky, Wofford, North Dakota State, Gonzaga

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (20, of which 13 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, CUSA, Ivy, MAC, MEAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Southland, Sun Belt, SWAC, WAC

Teams that look safe (4):
Cincinnati, Providence, Michigan State, San Diego State

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (12):
NC State, Davidson, Dayton, Temple, VCU, St. John's, Xavier, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Colorado State, Georgia

The Bubble (13 teams for 8 bids):
Tulsa, Miami, Illinois, Indiana, Oklahoma State, Texas, Boise State, UCLA, Oregon, LSU, Mississippi, Texas A&M, BYU

Best of the rest (6):
Rhode Island, Richmond, UMass, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Stanford

Long shots (13):
Connecticut, Pittsburgh, George Washington, UTEP,  Green Bay, Iona, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Murray State, Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt, Stephen F. Austin

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