Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Bubble Watch Heading Into March 4th

Conference tournaments are underway, though none of them have impacted the bubble watch quite yet.

The biggest result in terms of the bubble last night was Indiana losing to Iowa and dropping back onto the bubble. Temple pulled off the bubble without playing, though, as their RPI slipped inside the Top 40. So we're still at 18 teams on the bubble fighting for 11 spots.

Here is how the bubble stands as we head into Wednesday, March 4th:

Tournament locks (16 teams): 
Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Virginia, Villanova, Maryland, Wisconsin, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wichita State, Arizona, Utah, Kentucky, Gonzaga

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (32, of which 24 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, Atlantic Sun, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, Colonial, CUSA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Pac-12, Patriot, SEC, SoCon, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WCC, WAC

Teams that look safe (9):
SMU, Notre Dame, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, West Virginia, Northern Iowa, San Diego State, Arkansas

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (11):
Dayton, Temple, VCU, St. John's, Xavier, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Georgia

The Bubble (18 teams for 11 bids):
Cincinnati, Tulsa, Miami, NC State, Pittsburgh, Davidson, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Texas, Texas A&M, Boise State, UCLA, Oregon, Stanford, LSU, Mississippi, BYU

Best of the rest (6):
Connecticut, Rhode Island, Richmond, UMass, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech

Long shots (22):
Memphis, Clemson, George Washington, Seton Hall, Minnesota, Kansas State, UTEP,  Green Bay, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Toledo, Wyoming, Murray State, Arizona State, California, Oregon State, Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Saint Mary's

No comments: