Bubble Watch Heading Into March 7th

There were literally no changes to the bubble on Friday night. Aside from Baylor (already a Tourney lock) every team that played is not a serious at-large contender. But have no fear, because there will be significant changes to the bubble today, after our final full Saturday of games of the regular season.

For now, we still have 18 Tournament locks and a bubble consisting of 14 teams fighting over 9 spots.

Here is how the bubble stands as we head into Saturday, March 7th:

Tournament locks (18 teams): 
Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia, Villanova, Maryland, Wisconsin, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wichita State, Arizona, Utah, Arkansas, Kentucky, Gonzaga

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (32, of which 24 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, Atlantic Sun, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, Colonial, CUSA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Pac-12, Patriot, SEC, SoCon, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WCC, WAC

Teams that look safe (7):
SMU, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, West Virginia, Northern Iowa, San Diego State

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (13):
Cincinnati, Davidson, Dayton, Temple, VCU, St. John's, Xavier, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Georgia

The Bubble (14 teams for 9 bids):
Tulsa, Miami, NC State, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Texas, Texas A&M, Boise State, UCLA, Oregon, LSU, Mississippi, BYU

Best of the rest (7):
Pittsburgh, Rhode Island, Richmond, UMass, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Stanford

Long shots (21):
Connecticut, Memphis, Clemson, George Washington, Minnesota, Kansas State, UTEP,  Green Bay, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Wyoming, Murray State, Arizona State, California, Oregon State, Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Saint Mary's