tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post2066891189449744607..comments2023-09-01T06:51:04.030-04:00Comments on Basketball Predictions: Day 1 Open Thread + Picking The LinesJeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-49900440641894736992012-03-14T19:24:53.527-04:002012-03-14T19:24:53.527-04:00The most likely 2 seed to go down before the Sweet...The most likely 2 seed to go down before the Sweet 16? I think it has to be Duke. They're by far the weakest of the 2 seeds.<br /><br />The most likely double-digit seeds to make the Sweet 16? There are about half a dozen that I think have a decent chance, honestly. Obviously Belmont has a wonderful chance, as does NC State. California, Texas and Xavier are three others with a good chance.<br /><br />Temple is a very good team. I picked them as the A-10 champ all season long and was surprised when they got upset early in the A-10 tournament. If they get California, though, that'll be a very, very tough game for them. If you're a Temple fan, I'd root very hard for USF tonight. USF is not good, and I'd expect Temple to dispatch them rather easily.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-76026663042201637522012-03-14T17:33:17.067-04:002012-03-14T17:33:17.067-04:00Enjoyed the blog with all the matchup/computer ran...Enjoyed the blog with all the matchup/computer ranking analysis. <br /><br />However, using that method to pick, you can expect a lot of chalk which you have.<br /><br />I imagine you watch a ton of college b-ball. So based on your personal opinion (throwing aside all KenPom and Sagarin, etc):<br /><br />a) What 2 seed is likely to fall before the Sweet 16 (it's been happening frequently lately)<br /><br />b) What 3 double digit seeds have a realistic chance of the Sweet 16?<br /><br />P.S: Temple is going to the Sweet 16 this year!!!!!<br /><br />Thanks, <br />JohnJohnnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-44570908968395616242012-03-14T10:45:03.881-04:002012-03-14T10:45:03.881-04:00That is still my pick. But I definitely feel less ...That is still my pick. But I definitely feel less strong about it. Feel free taking Wisconsin, Vanderbilt or Kansas State there.<br /><br />None of us are ever going to get all 67 games right, so all we can do is play the odds.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-86134672599056940792012-03-14T10:39:14.180-04:002012-03-14T10:39:14.180-04:00So even without fab, are you still feeling cuse to...So even without fab, are you still feeling cuse to the e8 to fall victim to OSU? Thanks Jeff!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-39082129419726220442012-03-14T10:23:50.980-04:002012-03-14T10:23:50.980-04:00They definitely have a real chance. I'm always...They definitely have a real chance. I'm always wary of picking Kansas State to go far in the Tournament, though, because they're sloppy with the ball, don't rebound well on defense and don't hit free throws. Those are the three key things you want to look for in a team that is steady enough to win multiple consecutive games in a Tournament setting.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-88609395188364931572012-03-14T10:07:29.278-04:002012-03-14T10:07:29.278-04:00Jeff, I'm thinking k-state has a very real cha...Jeff, I'm thinking k-state has a very real chance to take down Syracuse now that fab is ineligible...your thoughts on that idea?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-17261189109464544632012-03-14T00:01:10.840-04:002012-03-14T00:01:10.840-04:00Yup. That stuff tends to even out in the long run,...Yup. That stuff tends to even out in the long run, though.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-80732393378135151642012-03-13T23:59:21.484-04:002012-03-13T23:59:21.484-04:000 for 2. Nice start.0 for 2. Nice start.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-41637509276522185942012-03-13T23:58:08.888-04:002012-03-13T23:58:08.888-04:00Well, it's a good thing I didn't bet any a...Well, it's a good thing I didn't bet any actual money on these two games. I would have pulled my hair out.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-19480362661870026412012-03-13T21:14:34.877-04:002012-03-13T21:14:34.877-04:00So somehow in all that chaos I didn't cover th...So somehow in all that chaos I didn't cover the spread? Oh well.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-62246660598144722922012-03-13T20:20:54.869-04:002012-03-13T20:20:54.869-04:00I definitely think it's close to a 50/50 game....I definitely think it's close to a 50/50 game. My concern is that Wisconsin does tend to struggle against zones with long, athletic players on the perimeter. Wisconsin would still have to shoot threes well to win. And, of course, Wisconsin will have a tougher path to that Sweet 16 game than Syracuse will.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-40174843937948652712012-03-13T20:17:34.687-04:002012-03-13T20:17:34.687-04:00any thoughts on wisconsin vs syracuse now that fab...any thoughts on wisconsin vs syracuse now that fab melo is ineligible? you feel like the zone will be less effective and give wisconsin a better chance to win?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-80430441290545425922012-03-13T19:27:02.523-04:002012-03-13T19:27:02.523-04:00I'd be concerned about Belmont's lack of s...I'd be concerned about Belmont's lack of size and defensive rebounding, but if they really crank up the tempo then it won't matter. I think you can feel fine picking any of the four teams in that pod to the Sweet 16. If you like Belmont then run with it, particularly if you get bonus points for seed.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-55679611275614194622012-03-13T19:22:01.679-04:002012-03-13T19:22:01.679-04:00I know this is unrelated to the game, but if i pic...I know this is unrelated to the game, but if i pick belmont to beat Georgetown ( i get an extra 5 points) do you think they're likely to beat NC State as well?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-54261242498077495072012-03-13T18:53:13.866-04:002012-03-13T18:53:13.866-04:00Under way!Under way!Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.com