tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post5617663158300049749..comments2023-09-01T06:51:04.030-04:00Comments on Basketball Predictions: Bracket Lesson #3: Road/Neutral RecordsJeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-15754669168487528702010-03-16T15:50:11.427-04:002010-03-16T15:50:11.427-04:00This is about comparison between home and road rec...This is about comparison between home and road records. Duke went 17-0 in home games, and 6-5 in true road games. That's a very large disparity. Compare that to the other three 1 seeds, who averaged 18 wins and 0.7 losses at home, and 8 wins and 1.7 losses on the road.<br /><br />Yes, Duke won a lot of quality road games. But they also won a lot more quality home games. They were a very good team in general. This is simply about whether there is a disparity between home and away.<br /><br />That's why I didn't just type out the best road records, or the worst road records, because without comparison to the home records those numbers don't mean anything. Duke got a 1 seed... they're <i>supposed</i> to have some good road wins.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-78208940588481547382010-03-16T15:03:35.430-04:002010-03-16T15:03:35.430-04:00Duke is one of the worst road/neutral teams when t...Duke is one of the worst road/neutral teams when they've beaten Gonzaga by 35, won the ACC tourney, won by double digits at Clemson? Yeah, okay buddy.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-81927374334567391922010-03-15T16:27:52.964-04:002010-03-15T16:27:52.964-04:00Hubbo, like I said, it is subjective. New Mexico ...Hubbo, like I said, it is subjective. New Mexico did go 12-3 in road/neutral games, but they also went 17-1 at home. So I held them off because they just won well everywhere. And also, that 12-3 road/neutral record includes that fairly fluke win at BYU when Jimmer Fredette was sick, so I'm not sure how much we even count that one.<br /><br />Honestly, it's the bad road teams you want to look at. There is really no correlation between teams with great road records and Tournament success, but there is certainly correlation between teams that basically cannot win on the road and Tournament failure. Take Georgia Tech, for example: they went 13-2 at home and 3-8 in true road games. And of those three true road wins, they came over Chattanooga, Charlotte and North Carolina, and the Chattanooga win was the only one that wasn't close in the final 60 seconds. That's a huge warning sign for anybody thinking of picking Georgia Tech.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-36497747597909294372010-03-15T16:07:42.273-04:002010-03-15T16:07:42.273-04:00Can you put up the records of your best road/neutr...Can you put up the records of your best road/neutral records? I think New Mexico might belong in there, given their 12-3 record in such games. They seem pretty comparable to Purdue and St. Mary's at first glance.<br /><br />Or maybe they fit better in that Kentucky scenario you mentioned. Not sure where you draw that line.Hubbohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10957352801073584349noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-12522737961911346632010-03-15T14:28:27.875-04:002010-03-15T14:28:27.875-04:00ok jeff i say ga tech,fl st,minn, st mary's,l...ok jeff i say ga tech,fl st,minn, st mary's,louisville early. then butler and god forbid temple. what do want donated to?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17686693699481028622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-42980234290098071962010-03-15T12:56:39.128-04:002010-03-15T12:56:39.128-04:00Jeff, thanks for taking the time to help those of ...Jeff, thanks for taking the time to help those of us who possess (much)less knowledge than we need to fill out the bracket. I promise to donate some winnings should it be successful. Hope to see your bracket tonight.Stirgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00280215761219928957noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-43821996720870356532010-03-15T12:04:33.496-04:002010-03-15T12:04:33.496-04:00Id like to see your bracket if you get a chance to...Id like to see your bracket if you get a chance to put it up. I like your info it's very good statistics.Miles Rittenberghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04724868721196198306noreply@blogger.com