tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post9026721210665480078..comments2023-09-01T06:51:04.030-04:00Comments on Basketball Predictions: Cincinnati Closes In On An At-Large BidJeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-36223296461324235282011-02-17T12:44:52.953-05:002011-02-17T12:44:52.953-05:00I do agree that Georgia probably needs to get to 9...I do agree that Georgia probably needs to get to 9-7, but I don't think 9-7 is as unlikely as you do. They have two home games that should be walkovers (LSU, South Carolina). So that means that they will only need one win from those three road games. They'll be underdogs in all of them, but I think the odds are that they'll win one.<br /><br />That's the wonder of statistics. If you look at Pomeroy's projections right now, he gives Georgia a less than 30% chance in each of those three games (28% against Tennessee, 22% against Alabama, 19% against Florida). But when you do the math on that you see that Pomeroy only projects a 45% chance that Georgia will lose all three. So that's why I still have Georgia in.<br /><br />And look at the teams I have right out of the bracket right now. Who among those do you think is getting in? Clemson? Gonzaga? Southern Miss? There are a lot of soft resumes.<br /><br />But this is way things always look at this time of the year. "This is the softest bubble in years" articles are a rite of February, like pitchers & catchers reporting. The bubble will firm up as we get closer, which is why I agree with you that Georgia needs to get to 9-7 to stay in the Field of 68.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12767101715737129123noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22972768.post-19720609226632591482011-02-17T11:45:42.524-05:002011-02-17T11:45:42.524-05:00Vandy plays at Auburn not UGA and Vandy is 7-4 not...Vandy plays at Auburn not UGA and Vandy is 7-4 not 6-4 in the SEC. UGA is going to need a big win on the road (barring a big run in the SEC tourney)They have @UT, @FLA, and @Bama among their last 5. If they lose all 3, the best they could finish would be 8-8 in the SEC. As much as they needed that win last night and the way they lost it, I would not be surprised to see a huge collapse down the stretch. I'm surprised you still see them getting in to the dance. How do you see this happening?BillyHoylenoreply@blogger.com