I've already talked about the idiocy of sports writers harping on head-to-head being the be-all, end-all many times, so I won't go on that rant again. Here is my most recent rant on the subject, and others are on the left side of the page of this blog under "BP Classics".
With the new Top 25 polls out, Jeff Goodman of Fox Sports is leading the charge on UConn over Michigan State. You can read his whole rant on his twitter page. He's furious that the Associated Press put Michigan State one spot ahead of UConn. It's a good thing he doesn't read me, because I have Michigan State finishing with a 1 seed, and UConn with a 9.
According to Pomeroy's stats, Kentucky has a 94% chance of beating Boston University tomorrow. I assume that if Boston University wins the game, Goodman will flip out if BU isn't ranked ahead of Kentucky in the next poll? Or what about if Virginia knocks off Minnesota (Pomeroy gives Virginia a 12% chance of pulling that upset off)? Of course he won't, because deep down he understands that upsets happen. He just turns his brain off when it comes to highly rated teams.
With UConn, I'm still not totally on board. We see this every year with teams going on a run at some preseason tournament and getting a ton of hype that builds and builds because reality usually doesn't hit until conference play begins in January. And then those teams crash, and we forget all about it and get excited about another next team that pulls a couple of upsets in November, 2011. UConn played great on two straight days in Maui in November, but let's chill out about projecting that to the rest of the season.