Sunday, March 11, 2007
Just a reminder that throughout the next week I'll go through a bunch of analysis to help you fill out your bracket. For now you can chew on my 5 vs 12 analysis from last year. That analysis suggests to bet against smaller-conference teams that are #5 seeds, and to bet on major conference teams that are 12's. That led me to suggest betting on Texas A&M and Montana to pull upsets last year, both of which happened. This year that advice might not be entirely helpful, since three games fit the grade. Arkansas over USC, Old Dominion over Butler, and Illinois over Virginia Tech. Although, to be honest, all three look very ripe for upsets. Take the numbers as you'd like. I'll try to provide more help as the week goes on.