Sunday, January 04, 2009

W-10 BP65

1. NORTH CAROLINA (ACC)
1. TEXAS (BIG 12)
1. UCONN (BIG EAST)
1. UCLA (PAC-10)

2. Duke
2. Pittsburgh
2. MICHIGAN STATE (BIG TEN)
2. Oklahoma

3. TENNESSEE (SEC)
3. Notre Dame
3. Wake Forest
3. GONZAGA (WCC)

4. Georgetown
4. Purdue
4. Arizona State
4. Louisville

5. Florida
5. Syracuse
5. MEMPHIS (CONFERENCE USA)
5. Marquette

6. Baylor
6. BYU (MWC)
6. Ohio State
6. Clemson

7. XAVIER (ATLANTIC 10)
7. Maryland
7. West Virginia
7. Wisconsin

8. Miami (Fl)
8. Kansas
8. Illinois
8. California

9. Villanova
9. DAVIDSON (SOUTHERN)
9. UNLV
9. Dayton

10. Michigan
10. Saint Mary's
10. CREIGHTON (MVC)
10. Texas A&M

11. USC
11. Florida State
11. Minnesota
11. LSU

12. BUTLER (HORIZON)
12. Kentucky
12. Stanford
12. MIAMI (OH) (MAC)

13. UTAH STATE (WAC)
13. SIENA (MAAC)
13. VCU (COLONIAL)
13. WESTERN KENTUCKY (SUN BELT)

14. PORTLAND STATE (BIG SKY)
14. PACIFIC (BIG WEST)
14. VMI (BIG SOUTH)
14. CORNELL (IVY)

15. NORTH DAKOTA STATE (SUMMIT)
15. ALBANY (AMERICA EAST)
15. AMERICAN UNIVERSITY (PATRIOT)
15. STEPHEN F AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)

16. AUSTIN PEAY (OVC)
16. STETSON (ATLANTIC SUN)
16. HAMPTON (MEAC)
16. CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (NORTHEAST)
16. JACKSON STATE (SWAC)


Other teams considered, but that missed the cut:
Boston College, Cincinnati, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Illinois State, Utah, Arizona, Washington, Arkansas, South Carolina, Vanderbilt

Other teams with a decent shot, but that need to improve their resume:
NC State, Virginia Tech, Rhode Island, Providence, Iowa, Northwestern, Penn State, Kansas State, Hofstra, George Mason, UAB, Houston, Evansville, San Diego State, Washington State

Other teams I'm keeping an eye on, but that need to drastically improve their resume:
Georgia Tech, Virginia, St. John's, Seton Hall, Nebraska, Texas Tech, UTEP, Cleveland State, Niagara, Bradley, Drake, New Mexico, Wyoming, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi, Mississippi State, South Alabama, Boise State
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2 comments:

Unknown said...

Notre Dame still a 3 seed? I don't get that. They are showing themselves to be a flawed team. Their out of conference record is good but not great, and they are about to have serious additions to their loss column now that they are entering conference play. With UConn, Pitt, Georgetown, Syracuse & Marquette all powerful teams, there are not enough wins to go around to sustain that many high seeds. From the games I have seen, Notre Dame and Louisville look like the Big East teams who will slip because of accumulated losses.

Likewise, your ranking of Gonzaga as a 3 seed seems dated. They have taken on too much water and don't have enough big games to rebuild their seed.

Arizona State and Georgetown look like the likeliest teams to rise compared to their current seeding.

January 05, 2009 3:31 AM
Jeff said...

I agree with you on Louisville, but I'm going to disagree on Notre Dame. Yes, they are flawed, but they are also incredibly tough at home. Figuring that they won't go worse than 8-1 at home, how bad can they possibly play on the road? Even if they only go 5-4 on the road, that makes them 13-5 and easily a 3 or a 4 seed. Louisville doesn't have that supreme home court advantage, so they don't have those home wins to fall back on when they're struggling.

As for Gonzaga, things will turn around. They're in a funk, yes, but that won't last too much longer. I didn't rush to put them as a 1 seed when everybody else did, and I'm not going to rush to drop them to a 7 seed now. They have all of the talent that they need to be a 1 seed, in fact. Their funk probably puts an end to that, but if they get out of it soon I don't see why a 3 seed is unrealistic at all. The WCC is good this year, so a winning streak there will allow them to move up the rankings while everybody else is losing games in conference.

Georgetown does have a chance to rise, but let's be careful about Arizona State. Things change when a team goes from the hunter to the hunted, as Arizona State fans learned last night when Cal brought their "A" game.

January 05, 2009 8:32 AM

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