W-8 BP68

We're just eight weeks from Selection Sunday, and that brings us to the annual "Full Bubble".

What is the Full Bubble? It means from here on out I list every team with even the slightest possible chance of an at-large bid. Teams that win every game from here until their conference tournament title game and then lose... would they have a chance to get in as an at-large bid? If yes, they're listed.

With such a wide net it means a whole bunch of mediocre teams are listed below. Most likely, none of the teams in the last category will get in. But with each new bracket I will eliminate a few teams from at-large contention, never to return. Right now I've got 85 teams listed below. By the time we hit Selection Sunday it'll be somewhere around ten.

So what about the teams with a realistic chance to get into the NCAA Tournament? Well, there are two changes to the projected Field of 68. NC State moves in as an at-large team, replacing Michigan. And South Dakota State moves in as the new favorite in the Summit, replacing Denver.

Remember, this is a projection of what the bracket will look like on Selection Sunday, and not a measure of where teams would be if the season ended now.

For now, here's how I see things ending up on Selection Sunday:

1. KENTUCKY (SEC)
1. WISCONSIN (BIG TEN)
1. DUKE (ACC)
1. ARIZONA (PAC-12)

2. VILLANOVA (BIG EAST)
2. Virginia
2. TEXAS (BIG 12)
2. GONZAGA (WCC)

3. Kansas
3. North Carolina
3. Oklahoma
3. Louisville

4. Utah
4. Iowa State
4. WICHITA STATE (MISSOURI VALLYE)
4. VCU (ATLANTIC TEN)

5. Maryland
5. West Virginia
5. Notre Dame
5. Ohio State

6. UCONN (AAC)
6. Oklahoma State
6. SMU
6. Georgetown

7. SAN DIEGO STATE (MOUNTAIN WEST)
7. Northern Iowa
7. Stanford
7. Michigan State

8. Baylor
8. Arkansas
8. Iowa
8. Butler

9. Florida
9. Syracuse
9. St. John's
9. Cincinnati

10. Providence
10. Dayton
10. Xavier
10. Seton Hall

11. Miami-Florida
11. Colorado State
11. HARVARD (IVY)
11. BYU

12. Illinois
12. Pittsburgh
12. Minnesota
12. NC State
12. LOUISIANA TECH (CONFERENCE USA)
12. GREEN BAY (HORIZON)

13. TOLEDO (MAC)
13. IONA (MAAC)
13. UC SANTA BARBARA (BIG WEST)
13. GEORGIA STATE (SUN BELT)

14. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
14. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)
14. HOFSTRA (COLONIAL)
14. EASTERN WASHINGTON (BIG SKY)

15. FLORIDA GULF COAST (ATLANTIC SUN)
15. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (SUMMIT)
15. NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC)
15. WOFFORD (SOCON)

16. STONY BROOK (AMERICA EAST)
16. NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL (MEAC)
16. COASTAL CAROLINA (BIG SOUTH)
16. AMERICAN UNIVERSITY (PATRIOT)
16. TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC)
16. ST. FRANCIS-PA (NEC)

Teams seriously considered that just missed the cut:
Davidson, George Washington, Indiana, Michigan, UCLA, Washington, Georgia

Decent resumes, but not good enough:
Temple, Tulsa, Purdue, TCU, Old Dominion, UTEP, Wyoming, Colorado, Oregon, Alabama, LSU, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, Saint Mary's

Long shots, but still in the at-large discussion:
Memphis, Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, Rhode Island, Richmond, La Salle, Creighton, Marquette, Nebraska, Kansas State, Western Kentucky, Valparaiso, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Evansville, Illinois State, Loyola-Chicago, New Mexico, Arizona State, California, Oregon State, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt

Still alive, but pretty much need a miracle:
Tulane, Boston College, Virginia Tech, George Mason, St. Bonaventure, St. Joseph's, DePaul, High Point, Northwestern, Penn State, Rutgers, Texas Tech, UC Davis, Long Beach St, Northeastern, William & Mary, Charlotte, Yale, Akron, Ball St, Kent St, Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Indiana St, Missouri St, Boise St, UNLV, Utah St, USC, Washington State, Lafayette, Auburn, Mississippi State, Missouri, Sam Houston St, Pepperdine,