W-11 BP68

Only 11 weeks until Selection Sunday, and only 3 weeks until I start the "full bubble", when I start eliminating potential bubble teams from at-large contention. The season is going by too quickly, like it always does.

Anyway, there is just one change to the makeup of the Field of 68 this week, with Minnesota moving in as an at-large team, replacing Nebraska. Another change is that Texas is my new pick as the Big 12 favorite, replacing Kansas.

Remember, this is a projection of what the bracket will look like on Selection Sunday, and not a measure of where teams would be if the season ended now.

For now, here's how I see things ending up on Selection Sunday:

1. KENTUCKY (SEC)
1. WISCONSIN (BIG TEN)
1. DUKE (ACC)
1. ARIZONA (PAC-12)

2. VILLANOVA (BIG EAST)
2. TEXAS (BIG 12)
2. Virginia
2. GONZAGA (WCC)

3. Kansas
3. Louisville
3. North Carolina
3. Oklahoma

4. Utah
4. Ohio State
4. Iowa State
4. WICHITA STATE (MISSOURI VALLEY)

5. Florida
5. SAN DIEGO STATE (MOUNTAIN WEST)
5. VCU (ATLANTIC TEN)
5. Georgetown

6. Northern Iowa
6. UCONN (AAC)
6. Oklahoma State
6. SMU

7. West Virginia
7. Maryland
7. Stanford
7. Illinois

8. Syracuse
8. Iowa
8. Pittsburgh
8. Arkansas

9. Notre Dame
9. Colorado State
9. Michigan State
9. Butler

10. UCLA
10. Baylor
10. HARVARD (IVY)
10. St. John's

11. Xavier
11. Providence
11. Michigan
11. Washington

12. Miami-Florida
12. Cincinnati
12. BYU
12. Minnesota
12. TOLEDO (MAC)
12. UTEP (CONFERNCE USA)

12. GREEN BAY (HORIZON)
13. UC SANTA BARBARA (BIG WEST)
13. IONA (MAAC)
13. GEORGIA STATE (SUN BELT)

14. NORTHEASTERN (COLONIAL)
14. EASTERN WASHINGTON (BIG SKY)
14. MURRAY STATE (OVC)
14. FLORIDA GULF COAST (ATLANTIC SUN)

15. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (SOUTHLAND)
15. DENVER (SUMMIT)
15. NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC)
15. WOFFORD (SOCON)

16. AMERICAN UNIVERSITY (PATRIOT)
16. NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL (MEAC)
16. STONY BROOK (AMERICA EAST)
16. HIGH POINT (BIG SOUTH)
16. ST. FRANCIS-PA (NEC)
16. ALABAMA STATE (SWAC)

Teams seriously considered that just missed the cut:
NC State, Dayton, George Washington, Seton Hall, Indiana, Nebraska, California, Oregon, South Carolina,

Other teams with a decent shot, but that need to improve their resume:
Memphis, Temple, Tulsa, Davidson, Richmond, Rhode Island, Creighton, Kansas State, TCU, Louisiana Tech, Old Dominion, Boise State, UNLV, Wyoming, Colorado, Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Mississippi, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt

Other teams I'm keeping my eye on, but that need to dramatically improve their resume:
Tulane, Boston College, Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, La Salle, UMass, Marquette, Penn State, Purdue, Charlotte, Evansville, Illinois State, Loyola-Chicago, New Mexico, Arizona State, Oregon State, Auburn, Mississippi State, Saint Mary's