Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Bubble Watch Heading Into March 3rd

The second day of the daily bubble watches turned out to have no changes. So that was poor planning.

We had fun games, but they almost entirely involved teams either locked into the NCAA Tournament or already eliminated. As such, nothing significant has changed. We still have 16 Tourney locks, and the bubble is still 18 teams for 11 spots.

Here is how the bubble stands as we head into Tuesday, March 3rd:

Tournament locks (16 teams): 
Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Virginia, Villanova, Maryland, Wisconsin, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wichita State, Arizona, Utah, Kentucky, Gonzaga

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (32, of which 24 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, Atlantic Sun, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, Colonial, CUSA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Pac-12, Patriot, SEC, SoCon, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WCC, WAC

Teams that look safe (9):
SMU, Notre Dame, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, West Virginia, Northern Iowa, San Diego State, Arkansas

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (11):
Dayton, VCU, St. John's, Xavier, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Georgia

The Bubble (18 teams for 11 bids):
Cincinnati, Temple, Tulsa, Miami, NC State, Pittsburgh, Davidson, Illinois, Purdue, Texas, Texas A&M, Boise State, UCLA, Oregon, Stanford, LSU, Mississippi, BYU

Best of the rest (6):
Connecticut, Rhode Island, Richmond, UMass, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech

Long shots (23):
Memphis, Clemson, George Washington, Seton Hall, Michigan, Minnesota, Kansas State, UTEP,  Green Bay, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Toledo, Wyoming, Murray State, Arizona State, California, Oregon State, Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Saint Mary's

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