Friday, March 06, 2015

Bubble Watch Heading Into March 6th

Arkansas became the 18th team to lock a place in the NCAA Tournament last night. 50 spots remain, though almost half are going to go to automatic bid winners.

The bubble continues to shrink as Davidson moves into the Field of 68 with a win and Stanford drops off with a loss. The bubble is now 14 teams fighting for 9 spots.

Here is how the bubble stands as we head into Friday, March 6th:

Tournament locks (18 teams): 
Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia, Villanova, Maryland, Wisconsin, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wichita State, Arizona, Utah, Arkansas, Kentucky, Gonzaga

Automatic bids yet to be awarded (32, of which 24 are not projected to be won by teams currently locked into the Tournament):
AAC, America East, ACC, Atlantic Sun, A-10, Big East, Big Sky, Big South, Big Ten, Big 12, Big West, Colonial, CUSA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Pac-12, Patriot, SEC, SoCon, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WCC, WAC

Teams that look safe (7):
SMU, Butler, Georgetown, Providence, West Virginia, Northern Iowa, San Diego State

Teams definitely in the Tournament... for now (13):
Cincinnati, Davidson, Dayton, Temple, VCU, St. John's, Xavier, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Georgia

The Bubble (14 teams for 9 bids):
Tulsa, Miami, NC State, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Texas, Texas A&M, Boise State, UCLA, Oregon, LSU, Mississippi, BYU

Best of the rest (7):
Pittsburgh, Rhode Island, Richmond, UMass, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Stanford

Long shots (21):
Connecticut, Memphis, Clemson, George Washington, Minnesota, Kansas State, UTEP,  Green Bay, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Wyoming, Murray State, Arizona State, California, Oregon State, Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt, Wofford, Stephen F. Austin, Saint Mary's

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